Economical Calculus: Price inflation and the value of money
One of the applications of calculus is in economics, calculus can be used to determine price inflation and the value of money.
Inflation rates are of two types namely continuous rate and annual rates.
In order to determine price change Δy over a year ,we use the annual rate:
Δy=(annual rate)×y×Δt
We can apply the continuous rate to each instant dt, the price change is dy:
dy=(contiuous rate)×y×dt
dividing by dt yields a differential equation for the price:
dydt=(continuous rate)×y=0.05y.
The solution is thus y0e0.05t,if we set t=1 then e0.05≈1.0513 and the annual rate is 5.13 percent.Normally, when you ask a bank what interest they pay,they give both rates of 8 percent and 8.33 percent .
The higher one they call the "effective rate" it comes from compounding(and depends on how often they do it). if the compounding is continuous , every dt brings an increase of dy and e0.08 is near 1.0833.
Now the interval drops from a month to a day to a second.That leads to (1+1n)n and in the limit to e.here we compute the effects of 5 percent continuous interest.
Future Value:A dollar now has the same value as e0.05T dollars in T years.
Present Value:A dollar in T years has the same value as e0.05T dollars now.
Doubling Time:Prices double (e0.05T=2) in T=ln(20.05)≈14years.
With no compounding , the doubling time is 20 years. Simple interest adds on 20 times 5 percent=100 percent.
With continuous compounding the time is reduced by the factor ln2=0.7, regardless of the interest rate.
Example: In 1626 the Indians sold Manhattan for 24 dollars.Our calculations indicate that they knew what they were doing.Assuming 8 percent compound interest, the original 24 dollars is multiplied by e0.08t. After t=365 years the multiplier is e29.2 and the 24 dollars has grown to 115 trillion dollars.With that much money they could buy back the land and pay off the national debt.
this seems farfetched.Possibly there is a big flow in the model, it is absolutely true that Benjamin franklin left money to Boston and Philadelphia,to be invested for 200 years. In 1990 it yielded millions(not trillions,that takes longer).
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